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0 Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
0 Analisi e Monitoraggio del Rischio Ambientale

2011/01/25 MULTI-RISK DAY
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The meeting will be held at:
INGV, Sezione di Bologna
via D. Creti, 12 - main entrance: via M. Franceschini 31
How to reach the location...


In order to take successful actions for risk mitigation, the most important scientific tool available to decision makers is quantitative risk assessment. Multi-risk is a new approach to risk assessment that allows the comparison of different risks and their interaction. The usefulness of multi-risk in the frame of decision-making derives from its capability of ranking different risks, suggesting priorities, and accounting for multiple events (their interaction) that may exponentially increase the impact of disasters on society.

The project ByMuR (http://bymur.bo.ingv.it), funded by the Italian Ministry of Education, University, and Research (MIUR), is a three-year project coordinated and developed by young researchers (< 34 years old). ByMuR aims to develop a Bayesian Multi-Risk model and apply it to seismic, volcanic and tsunami risks in the city of Naples. The main innovation of our project is the integration of multi-risk approaches (as risk comparison and risk interaction) with Bayesian procedures (which include the treatment of epistemic uncertainty and the integration of different approaches).

Due to the multi-disciplinary characteristics and the novelty of the multi-risk methodology, for a successful start off of the project it is crucial to form a common background within the group of young researchers involved in the project, and to coordinate our project in the framework of the other different National and International projects on related topics (i.e., single/multi hazard/risk assessments). Because of these reasons, in the framework of the ByMuR project, we organize a day of lectures (given by National and International experts) on the different topics covered by ByMur project, with the intention to present an overview and a summary of the state of the art.

PROGRAM

Morning:
Download0945-1000ByMuR Project and reasons for a "Multi-risk day"J. SelvaByMuR PI
Download1000-1030Seismic Hazard: A review on seismic hazard assessments in Italy C. MelettiINGV - Milano
Download1030-1045Seismic Hazard: A review on earthquake forecastingS. HainzlGFZ Potsdam
Download1045-1100 Seismic Hazard:A review on shakemapsA. MicheliniINGV - CNT
- 1100-1130Coffee Break - -
Download1130-1200Volcanic Hazard: A review on volcanic hazard assessmentP. PapaleINGV - Pisa
Download1200-1215Volcanic Hazard: Multi-volcano and multi-phenomena analysesL. SandriINGV - Bologna
Download1215-1245Tsunami Hazard: A review on tsunami hazard assessment S. TintiUniv. Bologna
Download1245-1300Tsunami Hazard: Tsunami Hazard assessment: a case study S. LoritoINGV - Roma



Afternoon:
Download1415-1445Vulnerability Assessment:A review on vulnerability assessment, fragility curves and standards P. FranchinUniv. La Sapienza
Download1445-1515Vulnerability Assessment: Earthquake Early Warning in the Campania region: implementation, performance and perspectivesG. FestaUniv. Federico II
- 1515-1545Coffee Break - -
Download1545-1615Multi-risk: A review on multi-risk: projects and perspectivesP. GaspariniAMRA - Univ. Federico II
Download1615-1630Multi-risk: Applications and challenges in multi-riskW. MarzocchiAMRA - INGV - Roma 1
Download1630-1645Multi-risk: Multi-risk software in the Cuenca project (AMRA)A. GarciaAMRA
- 1645-1730 Refreshment for a General Discussion and proposals:
  • common open-source software platform
  • website for discussion, collection of analyses, state of the art (ByMuR maintenance)
  • target areas, target structures and risk metrics in Naples
  • ...
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